With last week’s Golden Globes winners and this week’s Critics’ Choice favorites considered, it’s getting easier and easier to pick out the ones that are most likely to bag an Oscar, too. The most prestigious award ceremony honoring motion pictures around the world is just around the corner—the 88th Academy Awards (AKA the Oscars) are set to air on February 28 at 7:00 p.m. EST on ABC. The ceremony will be hosted by Chris Rock, who previously hosted the 77th edition back in 2005, and will take place at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, California. The Oscars celebrate the winners from 24 varied categories for their contribution to the film fraternity last year. Taking into account awards season so far, the following is a look at our 2016 Oscars predictions.
The Oscars nominations were announced last Thursday (January 14) at the Samuel Goldwyn Theater in Beverly Hills with Leonardo DiCaprio’s movie The Revenant bagging 12 nominations. Referring to the odds gathered from a few pre-poll surveys, here are few predictions for this year’s Oscars winners, including some potential spoilers as well. For the Best Picture category, Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s The Revenant has a very solid chance of winning, as the film has also bagged nominations in almost half of the categories. But Tom McCarthy’s Spotlight can just as easily steal this one, as the film is based on the critical issue of uncovering sexual abuse against children by Catholic priests. That being said, The Martian and Mad Max: Fury Road can also likely take away the Best Picture award, but our bets for this category of Oscars predictions are either on The Revenant or Spotlight.
The expected winner for the Best Director award is George Miller for Mad Max: Fury Road, unless Spotlight director Tom McCarthy or The Revenant’s Iñárritu try to close in.
The sure-fire winner for 2016 Oscars predictions in the Best Actor category is Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant—he dominated this category at both the Golden Globes and the Critics’ Choice Awards. However, DiCaprio’s much anticipated win (which would mark his first-ever Oscar win) may be ruined by Michael Fassbender, who played the late Apple founder in the biopic Steve Jobs.
Actress Brie Larson is a shoo-in for the Best Actress Oscar for playing a distraught mother protecting her son from their captor in Room. Her toughest competitors are Cate Blanchett for Carol and Jennifer Lawrence for Joy. Also, Brooklyn’s Saoirse Ronan cannot be overlooked—she’s received critical acclaim for playing a young Irish immigrant in the film.
Moving on to 2016 Oscars predictions for supporting stars, a sure favorite with great odds in this year’s Best Supporting Actor category is Sylvester Stallone, who also grabbed the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Award in the same category for reprising his famous role of Rocky Balboa in Creed. Carol’s Rooney Mara or The Danish Girl’s Alicia Vikander are pegged as the frontrunners in the Best Supporting Actress category.
Adam McKay and Charles Rudolph’s recession drama The Big Short is most likely to win the Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar, with Drew Goddard’s The Martian not too far behind. Pixar’s Inside Out is sure to grab the Best Animated Feature award this year, while Asif Kapadia’s documentary on the troubled life of Amy Winehouse, titled Amy, is shaping up to get the Best Documentary trophy.
The 2016 Oscars predictions for music awards might be a bit tricky, as there are plenty of good ones to choose from this year. The Weeknd’s “Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey shows potential for beating its competitors for Best Original Song. Meanwhile, a rare showdown between Quentin Tarantino’s The Hateful Eight and Star Wars: The Force Awakens will decide the fate of Best Original Score.
For the technical Oscars predictions, The Big Short is looking good for the Best Film Editing award, while The Revenant’s Emmanuel Lubezki is set to take home the Oscar for Best Cinematography.
These predictions come from Variety’s deputy editor & well-known film columnist Anne Thompson, who obviously knows what she’s talking about when it comes to movies. However, the outlook can still change in the weeks before the actual show. The results of final polling have yet to be confirmed, so the underdogs still have a chance to come out on top. Final voting begins on February 12 and closes on February 23.
To find out if these Oscars predictions were on the mark, be sure to watch the 88th Academy Awards airing live on February 28 starting at 7:00 p.m. EST on ABC.